Showing posts with label science. Show all posts
Showing posts with label science. Show all posts

Sunday, June 20, 2010

Barack Obama must be held accountable for the Gulf Oil Spill

Before you go to another website, I kindly ask you to consider a few verifiable facts, and I promise you that I will provide the links. Consider this:

The oil spill must have started as early as April 20th this year. Well, it was a known fact already on May 6th, that the U.S. goverment was not accepting foreign help on the dreadful incident. Iran, as implausible as it sounds, offered help, besides others. It is fairly evident that with joining efforts with all the countries willing to help, the task of cleaning would take less time than by the U.S. alone. Firms as the Jan De Nul Group could be of great help if properly requested.

The situation is still not getting better, and to top it, almost at the same time, as Obama is going golfing (he's golfing a lot more than Bush), the BP CEO is going sailing. By now it is clear that both the president and Tony Hayward are as clueless in PR as they can be. The "let them eat cake" is superfluous by now. Whose ass should be kicked, we know that already.
(...) Because if we are willing to work for it, and fight for it, and believe in it, then I am absolutely certain that generations from now, we will be able to look back and tell our children that this was the moment when we began to provide care for the sick and good jobs to the jobless; this was the moment when the rise of the oceans began to slow and our planet began to heal (...)
That was said by none other than presidential hopeful Barack Obama himself on June 3, 2008 (He sure didn't know those words were going to haunt him forever). Instead of looking for the real causes and solutions, Mr. Hope-and-Change is looking how to involve more politics in such an hour. Remember, a good 100.000 barrels are estimated to be thrown into the ocean every day. I don't know much about what BP is doing, I concede (that is, not counting the oil filtration machines the Beyond Petroleum farce is buying from Kevin Costner - no joke!), but this no acceptance of help truly enrages me.

There is still a lot of people talking about the brilliance of Barack Obama. Some would say that passing the Health Care Bill grants him a great place in American history alone. They might be right, but for the wrong reasons. Stiff defenders are already giving up. I don't care how much bulletins are posted on Deepwater Horizon Response, the approach of the U.S. goverment was flawed since the very beggining. I won't speculate, this blog is not the place for conspiracy theories. But sacrificing the environment, people and the economy in the name of a cap-and-trade legislation, thinking the bigger the spill, the more easy is to pass the law, is downright criminal.

BP used the motto "Beyond Petroleum", presenting itself as a green company. It never was that way. BP was only trying to please the environmentalism movement. Environmentalism is loaded more with wishful thinking and good intentions than real solutions. In a nutshell, cap-and-trade legislation would bring the entire global economy down. Let's get realistic. Please don't sell us more fraud and fear, and we will start to consider what to do next.

Barack Obama sold himself as a postpartisan, compentent, cool and rational president. Until the oil spill I was very reluctantly giving the benefit of the doubt, but giving it anyway. After what is happening in the Gulf of Mexico not anymore, I might add. Barack Obama must be held accountable for the Gulf of Mexico oil spill, not for causing it, but for making it intentionally worse.

Paul Maršić has ranted.

Friday, March 19, 2010

Jorge Luis Borges, Patron Saint of the Internet? Well, Yes and No.

If there is anybody of whom I can assuredly identify myself as an admirer, without bothering too much by recognizing it, without being ashamed by blushing, that’s Jorge Luis Borges. An Argentinean man of letters, poet, a writer of short stories, reviews, essays and literary critiques; he was born in 1899, died in 1986. Married twice. These are very schematic details of a very interesting life. What happens in between will be discussed here, in the accustomed way of Paul: eclectically, disorganized and incoherently.

Every writer/creator admitted to the Pantheon of the Greatest (immortal, universal literature classic- you know-) normally leaves to the posterity a very powerful image to be remembered for eons: Cervantes had Don Quixote and Sancho, Shakespeare had Romeo and Juliet and Hamlet, García Márquez had Colonel Aureliano Buendía. Others leave as a powerful image, not a character but a place: Thomas Moro left his Utopia, the same García Márquez has Macondo; Borges belongs in this second category. We vaguely could remember the affront suffered by Emma Zunz, or the affront perpetrated by Kilpatrick, but we always better remember Tlön, Uqbar, Orbis Tertius and the Library of Babel both as two of the most marvelous and at the same time monstrous visions of universal literature.

Talking about the extraordinary capacity that Borges had for playing (and toying, why not?) with ideas might be redundant, but one has to do it. To describe a world, in which Berkelian idealism molds every knowledge, perception, civilization and language (Bite on that bullet, Chomsky!), and in the meanwhile materialism is not a heresy, but the mother of all heresies, that is more than scholar’s trickery: it takes years to metabolize the whole short story and grasp all the ramifications coming out of it. I’m still thinking of Tlön (and Uqbar, and Orbis Tertius, for that matter), and I know I’ll never go too far.

Why? Because we’re not Jorge Luis Borges. Most of us weren’t born in a bilingual family at the crossroads of XIX and XX centuries, nor we didn’t spend our early childhood and adolescence in a big family library, nor we weren’t taken from Buenos Aires to Switzerland and then to Spain; i.e., we didn’t have our whole lives to prepare an erudition comparable to that belonging to the Universal Argentinean himself. Some people is going to elaborate about Infinite Monkey Theorem ad nauseam, but is remarkable indeed, that humanity had to wait some 1950 or 1400 (consider the source) years from the destruction of the Alexandria Library, for someone bold enough to conceive the Total Library: The Library of Babel, in which all the knowledge that was, is and will be exists, and the one that isn’t, too.That is Borges.

By the way, could you imagine the power of the Librarian that could grasp the order of such a library? Well, it would be bigger than a poultry inspector for the Buenos Aires municipal market, for sure. That ‘promotion’, from the post of head librarian, was an indignity our writer had to suffer, a courtesy of the newly arrived peronista regime, as a reminder of what totalitarian regimes, dictatorships and chieftains really mean to literature. But why bother, Borges himself said:
Dictatorships foster oppression, dictatorships foster servitude, dictatorships foster cruelty; more abominable is the fact that they foster idiocy.
I insist in things like these, because thanks to them, the Nobel Prize of Literature awards more ideological affinity than real talent. Borges, being basically a conservative, it is said he lost every chance of winning by committing the mortal sin of accepting an award in Pinochet’s Chile (he would regret that later). Besides, what about Kafka? Too much of an offbeat writer, or too much of a posthumous writer? And Joyce? And Proust? It is said that the greatest cable channel that never existed could be made with all the series Fox cancelled. Well, you could easily create quite an anthology with all the Nobel rejects.

Not all is bitterness: Borges could have make mistakes, but his achievements and regrets are securing the place he rightfully deserves in our time. For instance, being named by Wikipedia as his precursor, is a vindication. According to its Spanish article on him, the way the artistic and scientific works were published in Tlön, resembles a lot of that of the Wikipedia (with the same ideological bias uniformity, I might add).

Without fake modesty, I’ve been thinking of this for years, the question was if Borges preconfigured or preconceived the Internet. Nowadays anybody could say yes, being Internet a combination of the encyclopedic project Orbis Tertius, inserted in a Library of Babel (you know, the Labyrinths are kind of a Borges' specialty). What makes me doubt is thinking that the Internet era could not give birth to Jorge Luis Borges. Being born in these times, his energies would have been channeled into developing software, videogames or virtual reality environments. Our real and historic Borges deals a lot better  being considered as custodian and/or Saint Patron of the pre-Internet culture. It was the traditional culture, with its information-flow limitations, and the language barrier partially dissembled by someone who only realized after years that a part of his family spoke English and the other one spoke Spanish. That was the culture that allowed him to visualize in the virtual reality of the human imagination, the virtual reality of the computers.


I strongly recommend the reading of Jorge Luis Borges. FULL DISCLOSURE: I’m not even halfway to read his complete works yet.

Monday, February 15, 2010

Second Epistle to a Philosopher/Neuroscientist


Dear Mr. X:

As you read in Dr. sipmac's previous installment, the quest for truth was the only motivation to write such a letter. sip doesn't know your current whereabouts, but feels it is necessary to share
what he found in the highly recommendable "Watts up with that?" website (it is in blog format, but is much more than a blog). Yesterday I talked about that hubris cloud of Anthropogenic Global Warming. According to Mr. Henk Tennekes, former member of the Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences, that hubris cloud is bigger than anybody could expect. Always referring to himself in the third person (true to his Internet persona), the sadly pompous Dr. sipmac knows a thing or two about humility, believe it or not. Without further ado, Dr. sipmac presents Mr. Tenneke's very interesting letter of resignation to the Dutch Academy (It is an open letter inside my open letter - talk about a Möbius strip!):
Hermetic Jargon
Farewell Message to the Dutch Academy

As soon as scientists and scholars from different disciplines talk to one another, confusion creeps in. In everyday language, words evoke clusters of associations, suggestions, hints and images. This is why an intelligent listener often needs only half a word. But the words that scientists use in their professional communications are usually safeguarded against unwanted associations. Within each separate discipline this helps to limit semantic confusion, but outsiders have no chance.

Disciplines are divided by their languages. Incomprehensible journal articles and oral presentations, ever-expanding university libraries, endless bickering over the appropriation of research funds, resources, and post-doc positions: The Temple of Science has become a Tower of Babel. A Babylonian confusion of tongues has become the organizing principle. As soon as more than a couple dozen scientists unite around the same theme, another specialist journal is created, comprehensible only to the in-crowd. If this is science, I want to get off.
Many years ago, two members of the Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences tried to call attention to the problem. One was the leading art historian and Director of the Rijksmuseum in Amsterdam, Henk van Os, the other the retired methodologist of the social sciences, Adriaan de Groot. The two elderly gentlemen arranged a discussion meeting on the peer review system at Academy headquarters. Being an Academy member myself, I eagerly participated. In their introduction van Os and de Groot explained how all disciplines have a tendency to develop their own ‘hermetic jargon,’ the secret language that eliminates the risk of having to discuss the foundations of one’s discipline with the outside world.

Hermetic jargon: what a beautiful neologism! Hermetic: referring to airtight sealing, my Random House dictionary says. Words are at their best when they seed a whole cloud of meanings and associations. In this case my mind reacted instantly, grasping at such concepts as occult science, alchemy, and esoteric writing. Esoteric, accessible to the initiated only, is the qualification given by the philosopher Lucian to some of Aristotle’s writings. Hermetic sealing was the standard laboratory practice of the alchemists. The net effect of hermetic jargon is that outsiders cannot argue with the high priests who wield the words. They can only accept the occult writings in awe.
Looking at the academic enterprise this way, I come across a lot of issues that bother me. The first that comes to mind is that hermetic jargon makes it impossible to conduct mature, scientific discussions of the paradigms, dogmas, and myths that drive each discipline. The claims of the mainstream physics community worldwide, for example, are outrageous. All science is Physics, period, is what these priests claim. All other disciplines, including chemistry, biology, engineering and the earth sciences, are mere derivatives. Physicists glorify their Nobel prizes without ever contemplating whether the Nobel prize system might be based on a nineteenth-century assessment of the world of science. Hermetic jargon is also a very effective means of excluding outsiders from negotiations for research funds. The system by which professional colleagues judge each other’s performance is called Peer Review. Only peers in the same discipline may pass judgment on their colleagues’ funding requests and on the quality of their papers. Only high-energy physicists are allowed to participate in debates concerning the funding of high-energy physics, only micrometeorologists are allowed to review micrometeorological manuscripts. This makes a lot of sense, of course, because outsiders are in no position to judge the intricate technical details of the measurements and calculations involved. But such judgment is only a necessary first step. The key challenge for a meaningful peer review system would be to make explicit the underlying paradigms, and to subject them to scholarly scrutiny. This, to me, should be the essence of the duty of a National Academy, and perforce of each Academician.
Chances for a mature dialogue will improve when hermetic jargon is taken for what it really is: a way to defend barriers. There are plenty of unresolved issues and dilemmas in the interstices between the disciplines. Almost nobody dares to take a peek, but Gregory Bateson, the originator of the Kantian idea that Mind and Nature form a Necessary Unity, did. Angels Fear is the title of the book his daughter Margaret compiled after he died. The subtitle of that beautiful but rather messy book is Towards an Epistemology of the Sacred. The term ‘sacred’ should not be construed as referring to theology, but to the central problem of all epistemology: how can we know anything, how can we evaluate, who are we to make judgments? In Kant’s own words: “Reason suffers the fate of being troubled by questions which it cannot reject because they were brought up by reason itself, but which it cannot answer either because they are utterly beyond its capacities.” Yes, only fools rush in where angels fear to tread.

In oral presentations, to give another example, it would behoove the speaker to speak openly about the questions looming behind the research successes, behind the never-ending propaganda for scientific progress. I myself tried this a few times, but to no avail. In my induction speech for the Academy, in January 1984, I introduced the limited predictability of the weather as a prime example of the uncertainties associated with the sensitive dependence of nonlinear systems to initial conditions and to mismatches between Nature and the models we use to compute its evolution. I told my audience that the prediction horizon, in 1950 estimated by John von Neumann at 30 days, in fact is only three days on average. I dwelt only a little on the implications of this for the myth of endless progress in science. Apparently, meteorology is approaching the no-man’s land between the unknown and the unknowable, I said. This was enough to alert the cognoscenti. The moment the discussion period following my lecture started, the famous astronomer Henk van de Hulst stood up from his chair in the front row and said: “Henk, that is a sermon, not a lecture. Sermons are not appropriate in this Hall.” And the President, David de Wied then, closing the meeting and thanking me for my speech, said in front of the microphones: “Henk, I really don’t understand what you said, and I believe I don’t want to understand either.”

The two Academy members who had arranged the meeting on peer review apparently had concluded that voluntary changes in the peer review system were very unlikely. They opted for a direct confrontation. They proposed to amend the review system such that a number of colleagues outside the discipline concerned would have to participate in the evaluation of proposals for research funding and debates on the desired direction of research programs. Ask psychologists to look over the shoulders of meteorologists, involve theologians in the evaluation of astronomical long-term planning, let sociologists and engineers review each other’s professional papers, and so on. As soon as you do that, hermetic jargon loses the rationale for its existence.

It shall come as no surprise that these thoughts were torpedoed the moment they reverberated through the august Academy assembly hall. Everyone knew instantly the very idea was a land mine under the science establishment. Nobody understood that the proposal was rather modest in the sense that bureaucrats, politicians, and taxpayers would be excluded, and that the proposal in fact could be construed as reinforcing the power of the scientific nomenclature. The current practice is that spokesmen for each discipline negotiate directly with bureaucrats in government agencies, and refuse to be drawn into evaluations of the claims of other disciplines.
So all hell broke loose, right there in the meeting, the scene suddenly similar to that in a typical Knesset session, with Academicians jumping up, shouting, and cursing. Within half an hour, the President of the Academy, Pieter Drenth this time, stepped in, stating ex cathedra that the current review system was functioning well enough, despite minor flaws. He closed the meeting, and the Executive Board of the Academy decided to abort the idea altogether.

Following in the footsteps of van Os and de Groot, I have tried to fantasize about the fierce battles that might result if their proposal were put into effect. The central myth of cosmology and astrophysics, for example, is that the human mind is more powerful than the Universe. Stephen Hawking writes: when we discover a theory that unifies gravity and quantum mechanics, we will (I shudder as I write this) “know the Mind of God.” Martin Rees, then the Astronomer Royal of the United Kingdom, wrote a book called Before the Beginning, subtitled Our Universe and Others. Indeed, it has become common in astronomy to talk about Multiple Universes, an oxymoron if I ever saw one. Unfortunately, mainstream theology continues to propagate a similar myth, i.e. the stupid idea that one can talk with insight, and write scholarly publications, about God himself. That, in my mind, is an unforgivable epistemological fallacy. Readers not versed in the Bible might find it useful to read the story of Moses stumbling into a psychedelic thorn bush in Exodus 3. Moses hears voices and asks: “please tell me your Name, so I can tell my people who sent me.” The Voice answers: “I am whoever I want to be, that should be good enough for you.”

Being an engineer myself, I would be delighted to participate in a debate between engineers and sociologists. In both cases, the interaction between the discipline and society is central to the field of inquiry. Take cell phones. The technology is straightforward, but the sociology is complex. Engineers are servants to society. Their work, which uses physics, chemistry, and countless other disciplines, ought to be analyzed by sociologists. I confess that I know no sociology to speak of, but I know enough about engineering to claim that something must be amiss if the best book on technology I know of is Pirsig’s Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance.

As to my own position, I can illustrate that with another incident at the Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences. I was elected into the Academy in 1982, and assigned to a small group of scholars not bound to a specific discipline, the Free Section. This group was the envy of several others, because the much coveted expansion of disciplinary sections was hindered by our presence. There were 100 chairs in the Science Division at the time, and several other sections claimed to need more. The powers behind the scenes argued long enough for the Executive Board to cave in to the demands to eliminate the Free Section, and lodge its members into disciplines. I was tentatively assigned to the physics section, which did not appeal to me at all. So I wrote to the then President, Piet van Zandbergen, saying that one could imagine putting me in the Engineering Section because I was raised as an engineer, in the Physics Section because my area of expertise is turbulence theory, which is a branch of theoretical physics, and in Earth Sciences, because that would correspond to my current position. Instead, I wrote, I would prefer to be assigned to the Theology and Philosophy Section because of my growing interest in epistemology. The President, eager to avoid any written record of the nuisance I had created, called me one night by phone, saying: “Henk, philosophy belongs to the Arts and Humanities Division of the Academy. The division between them and the Science Division is laid down in our Charter. You cannot cross that Wall however much you want to. That Wall cannot be breached.”
But one can step outside. I did. There is light out there.

Now, how simple can science be? Is it up to epistemologists to decide? Mr. X, tear this wall of words apart!


Very truly yours,


Dr. sipmac
(Dr. Doom according to Paul Maršić)


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Climategate 4: Phil Jones Confesses to Climate Fraud


To the global warming family: please man up, fess it up and take it up. Stop hurting science the way you are doing it now.
That's what Dr. sipmac said a few days after Climategate exploded over the thick hubris cloud of anthropogenic global warming supporters (AGW). Little by little, it is happening. Don't need to be too judgemental. You'd have to grow a pair to admit that kind of wrongdoing. Nobody's gonna give you a medal for that, people are gonna spit after they hear your name for years to come, your only reward is going to be the possible last line of your bio/epitaph: and in the end, he did the right thing. Virtue is its own reward.

Now, just read it and breath with relief.



Dr.sipmac has ranted.
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Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Cooking the Global Warming Books – Until they burn - Climategate!

This time Dr. sipmac’s new rant looks like a minefield after he used (or abused?) the linking to other websites. He feels it is necessary. It is necessary to do a lot of research, stop taking what you hear and see everyday as granted. Always referring about himself in the third person (true to his internet persona), this time thinks there’s no time and he needs to talk about:


Cooking the Global Warming Books – Until they burn


Dr. sipmac really feels the urge to post this rant. Always wanting to say something about the climate change, formerly know as climate warming, until last year a crude winter was experienced in the northern hemisphere and the alarmists (both scientists and lay people) couldn’t sell the idea of increasingly benign winters anymore. He hesitated, because he wanted to substantiate all the facts with undisputed evidence.

It wasn’t long ago, when he took a cab to his workplace and began to talk nonchalantly with the chauffeur until they arrived to that particular theme. It appeared that the taxi driver was a Discovery Networks fan, and he couldn’t even contemplate the very notion of the inexistence of the manmade global warming, much less the idea of the untruth of a global warming at all. What makes Dr. sipmac shudder energetically is the remembrance of his stare: he was watching Dr. sipmac like someone discovering he was talking with a madman, and the driver was at the same time wanting to punch him in the face.


Besides, who can dispute, who is crazy enough to dissent, when the city in which they live has experienced a very hot and dry year? Just the last year it didn’t rain: it poured. El Niño phenomenon? The one that appears every three to eight years? No, it must be global warming. It’s in all the media!


It is a real sensitive theme, and when you are a skeptic, it is like talking about religion and/or politics. Until recently people in the first world accepted the dogma of the manmade global warming (MGW) without questioning it. But the tide is changing. In the meanwhile, in every part of the globe the dogma still persists among official levels. Governments talk about it and devise policies regarding MGW assuming it is a reality, a settled matter. After all, it wasn’t only the desperate admonitions of washed-up politicians who have found new relevance: scientists, serious scientists flooded the media with data, computer models and pictures that showed how real the threat was.


The few that dare to dissent were facing difficulties, even threats, not just because of their beliefs, but because they dare to confront the advocates of MGW and simple GW… with facts. Speaking of which, now it is time to announce that those serious scientists that advocate for radical measures to stop the irresponsible actions that harm the environment have been caught red-handed. The UK Climate Research Centre’s (a component of the University of East Anglia U.K., one of the leading institutions concerned with the study MGW and GW) e-mails have been hacked (some say they have been leaked). You can read them in http://www.anelegantchaos.org/ and weep. Finally, we have strong evidence that, in order to further the alarmist agenda (and earn a little money), the data has been doctored and bogus research methods had been used.


Mainstream media is now in full denial mode, alleging that these e-mails are fake themselves, or that they are private communications that never were intended for the public (yeah, *sure*). But they seem to be right. Only time will tell if this real discovery will change the course of the MGW juggernaut. By the way, Dr. sipmac is willing to accept there could be a global warming caused by CO2 emissions, even a manmade global warming… but stop offering the people to drink of the same old kool-aid. Gimme some truth.


Dr. sipmac has ranted.
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