Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Told ya, you were running out of luck!


Charlie Sheen was awarded an a-hole of the year prize last year by Dr. sipmac. He was in a very delicate position then, to put it mildly. Now, he went to rehab, shutting down the "Two and a Half Men" effectively. The careless, happy-go-lucky, drunken whoremonger bachelor attitude works only in fiction, it seems. At this moment, nobody knows what is going to happen to the sitcom (and Mr. Sheen, for that case). Anyway, Dr. sipmac wishes both of them luck (and the entire cast, why not).

BTW, it is a policy of sipmacrants! to follow up the published newsitems.

Dr. sipmac is a TAAHM fan but does not support irresponsible behavior.
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Monday, February 15, 2010

Second Epistle to a Philosopher/Neuroscientist


Dear Mr. X:

As you read in Dr. sipmac's previous installment, the quest for truth was the only motivation to write such a letter. sip doesn't know your current whereabouts, but feels it is necessary to share
what he found in the highly recommendable "Watts up with that?" website (it is in blog format, but is much more than a blog). Yesterday I talked about that hubris cloud of Anthropogenic Global Warming. According to Mr. Henk Tennekes, former member of the Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences, that hubris cloud is bigger than anybody could expect. Always referring to himself in the third person (true to his Internet persona), the sadly pompous Dr. sipmac knows a thing or two about humility, believe it or not. Without further ado, Dr. sipmac presents Mr. Tenneke's very interesting letter of resignation to the Dutch Academy (It is an open letter inside my open letter - talk about a Möbius strip!):
Hermetic Jargon
Farewell Message to the Dutch Academy

As soon as scientists and scholars from different disciplines talk to one another, confusion creeps in. In everyday language, words evoke clusters of associations, suggestions, hints and images. This is why an intelligent listener often needs only half a word. But the words that scientists use in their professional communications are usually safeguarded against unwanted associations. Within each separate discipline this helps to limit semantic confusion, but outsiders have no chance.

Disciplines are divided by their languages. Incomprehensible journal articles and oral presentations, ever-expanding university libraries, endless bickering over the appropriation of research funds, resources, and post-doc positions: The Temple of Science has become a Tower of Babel. A Babylonian confusion of tongues has become the organizing principle. As soon as more than a couple dozen scientists unite around the same theme, another specialist journal is created, comprehensible only to the in-crowd. If this is science, I want to get off.
Many years ago, two members of the Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences tried to call attention to the problem. One was the leading art historian and Director of the Rijksmuseum in Amsterdam, Henk van Os, the other the retired methodologist of the social sciences, Adriaan de Groot. The two elderly gentlemen arranged a discussion meeting on the peer review system at Academy headquarters. Being an Academy member myself, I eagerly participated. In their introduction van Os and de Groot explained how all disciplines have a tendency to develop their own ‘hermetic jargon,’ the secret language that eliminates the risk of having to discuss the foundations of one’s discipline with the outside world.

Hermetic jargon: what a beautiful neologism! Hermetic: referring to airtight sealing, my Random House dictionary says. Words are at their best when they seed a whole cloud of meanings and associations. In this case my mind reacted instantly, grasping at such concepts as occult science, alchemy, and esoteric writing. Esoteric, accessible to the initiated only, is the qualification given by the philosopher Lucian to some of Aristotle’s writings. Hermetic sealing was the standard laboratory practice of the alchemists. The net effect of hermetic jargon is that outsiders cannot argue with the high priests who wield the words. They can only accept the occult writings in awe.
Looking at the academic enterprise this way, I come across a lot of issues that bother me. The first that comes to mind is that hermetic jargon makes it impossible to conduct mature, scientific discussions of the paradigms, dogmas, and myths that drive each discipline. The claims of the mainstream physics community worldwide, for example, are outrageous. All science is Physics, period, is what these priests claim. All other disciplines, including chemistry, biology, engineering and the earth sciences, are mere derivatives. Physicists glorify their Nobel prizes without ever contemplating whether the Nobel prize system might be based on a nineteenth-century assessment of the world of science. Hermetic jargon is also a very effective means of excluding outsiders from negotiations for research funds. The system by which professional colleagues judge each other’s performance is called Peer Review. Only peers in the same discipline may pass judgment on their colleagues’ funding requests and on the quality of their papers. Only high-energy physicists are allowed to participate in debates concerning the funding of high-energy physics, only micrometeorologists are allowed to review micrometeorological manuscripts. This makes a lot of sense, of course, because outsiders are in no position to judge the intricate technical details of the measurements and calculations involved. But such judgment is only a necessary first step. The key challenge for a meaningful peer review system would be to make explicit the underlying paradigms, and to subject them to scholarly scrutiny. This, to me, should be the essence of the duty of a National Academy, and perforce of each Academician.
Chances for a mature dialogue will improve when hermetic jargon is taken for what it really is: a way to defend barriers. There are plenty of unresolved issues and dilemmas in the interstices between the disciplines. Almost nobody dares to take a peek, but Gregory Bateson, the originator of the Kantian idea that Mind and Nature form a Necessary Unity, did. Angels Fear is the title of the book his daughter Margaret compiled after he died. The subtitle of that beautiful but rather messy book is Towards an Epistemology of the Sacred. The term ‘sacred’ should not be construed as referring to theology, but to the central problem of all epistemology: how can we know anything, how can we evaluate, who are we to make judgments? In Kant’s own words: “Reason suffers the fate of being troubled by questions which it cannot reject because they were brought up by reason itself, but which it cannot answer either because they are utterly beyond its capacities.” Yes, only fools rush in where angels fear to tread.

In oral presentations, to give another example, it would behoove the speaker to speak openly about the questions looming behind the research successes, behind the never-ending propaganda for scientific progress. I myself tried this a few times, but to no avail. In my induction speech for the Academy, in January 1984, I introduced the limited predictability of the weather as a prime example of the uncertainties associated with the sensitive dependence of nonlinear systems to initial conditions and to mismatches between Nature and the models we use to compute its evolution. I told my audience that the prediction horizon, in 1950 estimated by John von Neumann at 30 days, in fact is only three days on average. I dwelt only a little on the implications of this for the myth of endless progress in science. Apparently, meteorology is approaching the no-man’s land between the unknown and the unknowable, I said. This was enough to alert the cognoscenti. The moment the discussion period following my lecture started, the famous astronomer Henk van de Hulst stood up from his chair in the front row and said: “Henk, that is a sermon, not a lecture. Sermons are not appropriate in this Hall.” And the President, David de Wied then, closing the meeting and thanking me for my speech, said in front of the microphones: “Henk, I really don’t understand what you said, and I believe I don’t want to understand either.”

The two Academy members who had arranged the meeting on peer review apparently had concluded that voluntary changes in the peer review system were very unlikely. They opted for a direct confrontation. They proposed to amend the review system such that a number of colleagues outside the discipline concerned would have to participate in the evaluation of proposals for research funding and debates on the desired direction of research programs. Ask psychologists to look over the shoulders of meteorologists, involve theologians in the evaluation of astronomical long-term planning, let sociologists and engineers review each other’s professional papers, and so on. As soon as you do that, hermetic jargon loses the rationale for its existence.

It shall come as no surprise that these thoughts were torpedoed the moment they reverberated through the august Academy assembly hall. Everyone knew instantly the very idea was a land mine under the science establishment. Nobody understood that the proposal was rather modest in the sense that bureaucrats, politicians, and taxpayers would be excluded, and that the proposal in fact could be construed as reinforcing the power of the scientific nomenclature. The current practice is that spokesmen for each discipline negotiate directly with bureaucrats in government agencies, and refuse to be drawn into evaluations of the claims of other disciplines.
So all hell broke loose, right there in the meeting, the scene suddenly similar to that in a typical Knesset session, with Academicians jumping up, shouting, and cursing. Within half an hour, the President of the Academy, Pieter Drenth this time, stepped in, stating ex cathedra that the current review system was functioning well enough, despite minor flaws. He closed the meeting, and the Executive Board of the Academy decided to abort the idea altogether.

Following in the footsteps of van Os and de Groot, I have tried to fantasize about the fierce battles that might result if their proposal were put into effect. The central myth of cosmology and astrophysics, for example, is that the human mind is more powerful than the Universe. Stephen Hawking writes: when we discover a theory that unifies gravity and quantum mechanics, we will (I shudder as I write this) “know the Mind of God.” Martin Rees, then the Astronomer Royal of the United Kingdom, wrote a book called Before the Beginning, subtitled Our Universe and Others. Indeed, it has become common in astronomy to talk about Multiple Universes, an oxymoron if I ever saw one. Unfortunately, mainstream theology continues to propagate a similar myth, i.e. the stupid idea that one can talk with insight, and write scholarly publications, about God himself. That, in my mind, is an unforgivable epistemological fallacy. Readers not versed in the Bible might find it useful to read the story of Moses stumbling into a psychedelic thorn bush in Exodus 3. Moses hears voices and asks: “please tell me your Name, so I can tell my people who sent me.” The Voice answers: “I am whoever I want to be, that should be good enough for you.”

Being an engineer myself, I would be delighted to participate in a debate between engineers and sociologists. In both cases, the interaction between the discipline and society is central to the field of inquiry. Take cell phones. The technology is straightforward, but the sociology is complex. Engineers are servants to society. Their work, which uses physics, chemistry, and countless other disciplines, ought to be analyzed by sociologists. I confess that I know no sociology to speak of, but I know enough about engineering to claim that something must be amiss if the best book on technology I know of is Pirsig’s Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance.

As to my own position, I can illustrate that with another incident at the Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences. I was elected into the Academy in 1982, and assigned to a small group of scholars not bound to a specific discipline, the Free Section. This group was the envy of several others, because the much coveted expansion of disciplinary sections was hindered by our presence. There were 100 chairs in the Science Division at the time, and several other sections claimed to need more. The powers behind the scenes argued long enough for the Executive Board to cave in to the demands to eliminate the Free Section, and lodge its members into disciplines. I was tentatively assigned to the physics section, which did not appeal to me at all. So I wrote to the then President, Piet van Zandbergen, saying that one could imagine putting me in the Engineering Section because I was raised as an engineer, in the Physics Section because my area of expertise is turbulence theory, which is a branch of theoretical physics, and in Earth Sciences, because that would correspond to my current position. Instead, I wrote, I would prefer to be assigned to the Theology and Philosophy Section because of my growing interest in epistemology. The President, eager to avoid any written record of the nuisance I had created, called me one night by phone, saying: “Henk, philosophy belongs to the Arts and Humanities Division of the Academy. The division between them and the Science Division is laid down in our Charter. You cannot cross that Wall however much you want to. That Wall cannot be breached.”
But one can step outside. I did. There is light out there.

Now, how simple can science be? Is it up to epistemologists to decide? Mr. X, tear this wall of words apart!


Very truly yours,


Dr. sipmac
(Dr. Doom according to Paul Maršić)


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Climategate 4: Phil Jones Confesses to Climate Fraud


To the global warming family: please man up, fess it up and take it up. Stop hurting science the way you are doing it now.
That's what Dr. sipmac said a few days after Climategate exploded over the thick hubris cloud of anthropogenic global warming supporters (AGW). Little by little, it is happening. Don't need to be too judgemental. You'd have to grow a pair to admit that kind of wrongdoing. Nobody's gonna give you a medal for that, people are gonna spit after they hear your name for years to come, your only reward is going to be the possible last line of your bio/epitaph: and in the end, he did the right thing. Virtue is its own reward.

Now, just read it and breath with relief.



Dr.sipmac has ranted.
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Tuesday, February 9, 2010

Mr. Weisberg, don’t be such a cry baby

Note from Dr. sipmac: Dear Readers, it seems Paul Maršić is acting quite mean lately. Not ballistic yet, but decidedly mean. sip suspects there is some medication issue but he won’t elaborate further. That said, he lets now Paul rant—


Note from Paul Maršić: Knock it off, Dr. Doom! What’s the name of this blog? sipmacrants! I’ll rant if I want it, you—


Note from Dr. sipmac: Without further ado, here’s Paul Maršić with


Mr. Weisberg, don’t be such a cry baby


Last Saturday, Slate’s Chairman and Editor-in-Chief Mr. Jacob Weisberg showed all the contempt he has for the people he allegedly is trying to save: his piece, called Down with the People, calls the hope-and-change resistant people “childish and ignorant” and holds them responsible for the current political and economic crisis. What a difference between this outright rant and the preface of the US Constitution! Talking about talking down to people!

And why is that, Mr. Weisberg? Because the people are inconsistent with the type of government they desire? Come on, everybody wants a busy government, but nobody wants to be taxed to death, nobody wants the government increasing the debt of the country, turning the situation unsustainable and the nation unviable. Slate’s owners would be nervous long before you could incur in so much debt that you turned your company bankrupt.

But I’m surely being unfair with you. I was misled by the titles Chairman and Editor-in-Chief the Slate Group bestowed on you. I thought you knew a thing or two about running a business. Maybe you’re busy only with the creative and editorial issues of your company. And yet you try to pin again the health care fiasco on the Republicans! Hello! The Dems have enough votes to pass anything the Obama administration wants. They don’t really need the Republicans at all. If Obama wants to play the bipartisanship card, is because he wants to calm down his own nervous Democrats in both houses. Don’t tell me you don’t know that or you’re risking to be charged with intellectual dishonesty.


And for the people? Did it not occur to you this time they could be right? I won’t fall in that “people are always right” trap, just the same I’m not falling in the “Chairman and Editor-in-Chief is always right” trap. But just consider what the people said after you posted your piece:


“Beautifully put, I agree with pretty much everything you said. I am glad you compared the country with California, where the "successful only in blocking tax increases" Republicans have been deadlocked with the "successful only in increasing spending" Democrats for years. That state is headed for bankruptcy and so is the country of people don't face up to the hard choices.”


So, the hard choice for California is, to be taxed to death, again. Not to trim humongous bureaucracy or public employees privileges projected for the next 75 years. And don’t come to me threatening with massive firings in the police, education system, all the usual suspects. I think a lot of us would be happy if the state senate trims all their benefits in half. They won’t be starving, either. Talk about redistribution!


See? But, wait, there’s more!


“ Boring MIddle Aged Guy
I loved this article. I have been saying that we get the government that we deserve and that government is now a reflection of 'us' in general. Spending money we don't have. Wanting everything but not wanting to pay for it. Wow, that's my neighbors, my brother. On top of that, we complain about every single little inconvenience. Cripes”


That’s more I like it, I meant. That could be a more balanced view of “we the people”, more balanced than your view, I think… in the meanwhile, you can think of me like “that cranky, deluded Maršić guy”, but do you really know what I think of you? Well, I think your pride was deeply hurt recently, and this piece you wrote was your way to get even with the American public, calling them names. How mature of you, by the way.


You think I’m kidding? On November 28 you paid your respects to president Obama with a glowing review titled “Obama’s brilliant first year”, counting that if health care reform was passed in Congress, he would have achieved more than any first – year president since FDR. And in a way, that would have been entirely accurate, but for the wrong reasons. Yes, it would have made a lasting impression in America, to succeed where Truman, Johnson, Carter and Clinton failed. Once an entitlement program starts, like taxes, it is very difficult to stop.


Well you even dare to say that with health care reform passed, Obama could spend the remaining three years of his first term without doing anything and he still would be considered a great president.


“No, the results do not yet merit his Nobel Peace Prize. But not since Reagan has a new president so swiftly and determinedly remodeled America's global role”,


you added regarding Obama’s foreign policy, Copenhagen notwithstanding. Oh, that’s not fair! Copenhagen ended on December 19th. You wrote your article on November 28th, when Climategate was already the theme of the day. Oh, but not in your website, that’s true.


And then, it happened. Scott Brown happened. Now the cat is out of the bag, but is a childish and ignorant cat, according to you. The people are wrong, you’re right. How can’t they see that? You know what’s best for them.

Even now I cannot imagine your grim despair that January 19th in the evening, and maybe you commit the mistake of watching the fray of your article and read comments like:


“I came back to comment on this (now-oh-so-outdated) article because of the enormous hilarity of its claim. It has been a year now and since most universally acknowledge, even many democrats, that Obama has not only been an unmitigated disaster for his party but for the nation as well, I felt obligated to come here and gloat. Stupid liberals, politics are for adults. Never before in American history has such a small class of ideologues, stinking with hubris, so convinced themselves to believe is so much bull crap. Jacob Weisberg may just be, as his article objectively proves, the dumbest political analyst in the nation. Surely he will lose his job, right? Don't count on it. Liberals take great comfort in numbers even if it's only 6 people blogging from their basement. Keep up the good work Washington Post. You think you were blindsided by Brown's win in Mass just wait until November. BTW, last Wednesday the Washington Post's metro edition (given to those riding the trains) had nothing about Brown's win on its cover. lmao”
Or what about this? It was pretty insolent and offensive, I concede:

“Seriously - Take the President's c**k out of your mouth.
by Bobarian
12/01/2009, 10:39 AM #
+2/-2 Reply
The best part of Obama's presidency so far has been the fact that he hasn't been able to enact very few of the hair-brained, poorly thought out, and vacuous policies that he ran his campaign on.”
That last comment wasn’t even à propos Brown victory, but that was surely to express disagreement with all the flaws in your review. The people in the fray came to hit you, and hard. I would have been angry, too. But I’m not the Chairman and Editor-in-Chief of the Slate Group, that should count for something. Mr. Weisberg, don’t be such a cry baby. And don't mess with your potential customers.

Paul Maršić has ranted

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Thursday, February 4, 2010

Did America waste $5 billion in Colombia?


By Dr. sipmac

"See you at the cities", said "Mono" Jojoy, number 3 at the farc at the very heyday of the failed peace talks in the Pastrana administration. Politicians, bankers and clergymen from all over the world, NYSE's chairman included, visited San Vicente del Caguan or received Raul Reyes (number two in the organization) in a trip with colombian government officials to Europe. Just everybody wanted to be in the history books. ¿And what was what the farc had to offer? Just to extend the war from the jungle to the colombian cities, where the most part of the population live. And in the late nineties, they were in pretty good shape to do that (they've got a lot of help btw, even from outside Colombia).

That was between 1999 and 2002, and then the tide turns against the farc: Reyes is killed, the organization is in disarray, Jojoy is on the run and Tirofijo, the legendary leader died without being nearer to his final goal: to size absolute power in Colombia.

Now, today Dr. sipmac read an article written by Mr. Ray Fisman about 5 billion dollars wasted in the war against drugs in Colombia. The article is based in a Center for Global Development report. Sip won't go into the legalization debate, not for now. But Mr. Fisman surely does not mention how was the situation in the late nineties: it was more than possible that the guerrilla could win the war. Because it wasn't only a guerrilla war but pure terrorism used against innocent civilians, too. Anybody who cared to travel by car or by bus outside the big cities risked dear life by being caught by guerrilleros, and spent years kidnapped, for starters.

In a nutshell, this situation changed thanks to the U.S. aid, those 5 billion dollars reported in Mr. Fisman's article and allegedly to have no positive outcome after being spent. It is interesting how it is mentioned both in the CGD report and the article the truly evil (and very condemnable) deeds of the paramilitary forces but not all the damage caused by the guerrilla all these years. Not to mention that in Wikipedia's entry on CGD it is mentioned the Foreign Policy Magazine, the one that works very closely with Slate, all with the same political orientation.

All of this is to say, the U.S. aid to Colombia may have not been 100% succesful, but it has done a lot of good to the majority of colombians that want to live in peace, and they are thankful for this. Dr. sipmac remembers about one or two years ago an american cartoonist horrified by the colombian paramilitary and asked not to drink colombian coffee. I'd rather been suggesting him not to blow any coke.
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